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Investing In NEW Coin-Op Carwashes
ROA Versus ROI
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reprinted from Fall/96
to download Click (FILE), then (SAVE AS)
or (PRINT) THIS IS COPYRIGHTED FOR PERSONAL USE ONLY!
Regardless, this particular asset (if it performed
up to projected expectations) would produce a Rate Of Return
I believe a prudent investor should expect: Di vide $80K (Net
Operating Income) by $400K (Value of Asset). Then multiply that
quotient by 100 and you will get 20%. 80,000 ÷ 400,000 = .2
x 100 = 20% It makes pretty good business sense to build this
wash if you're satisfied with a 20% Rate Of Return On Assets
... "ROA" in banker's code.
But hang on. I'm about to show you how to get
a Rate Of Re turn that's well above 20%. Just take note of one
fun damental distinction the difference between Rate Of Return
on Assets and Rate Of Return on Investment. Return On Assets
is based on the current value of the carwash (the asset). Return
On Investment, however, is based on the amount of capital the
owner has invested in the asset, namely, the down payment .
The calculation above assumes the carwash owner paid cash and
owns this asset free and clear of any debt.
But now look at what happens to the yield on
this wash if the owner borrowed part of the money. Let's suppose
the builder of this $400,000 self serve makes a down payment
of $100,000 and borrows the balance of $300,000. What's the
Rate Of Return on the investment of that $100,000 down payment?
In banker's jargon, "what's the ROI?" ... the Return On Investment.
Some folks would refer to it as the "Leveraged Rate Of Return",
others might call this the " Cash On Cash Rate Of Return".
Call it whatever you like I'll stick with ROI
this type of rate is dramatically higher than ROA. We're assuming
that both the bot tom line annual profit of $8OK and the Net
Operating Income are the same whether it's an all cash deal
or involves borrowing. The only change which takes place is
that this owner must now use part of the $80K "profit" to make
the payments on the $300,000 which has been borrowed.
Here's what happens ... If the $300,000 is
borrowed at 10% interest over a term of 10 years, then the monthly
payment on the loan is $3964. Multiply that figure by 12 and
the annual debt service (principal and interest payment) is
$47,574. This owner must now use almost $48K of the Annual Net
Operating Income to make payments on the loan for the next 10
years. After making payments on the loan there's still some
profit left over. Take the annual debt service of $47,574 from
the $80,000 of Net Operating Income and what's left is $32,426.
This Is the number "Profit After Debt Service"
which is now used to calculate the ROI ... the Return On Investment
or the so called "Cash On Cash" return. The arithmetic is simple.
The down payment of $100,000 has been invested. This investment
has earned $32,426 (After Debt Service). Divide the $32,426
by $100,000. The quotient is .3242576. Multiply by 100 to get
a percent. That gives you (in round figures) 32.5%. That's the
ROI a good bit better than the 20% ROA from the all cash transaction.
As good as this sounds it gets still better.
Here's why ... In addition to getting the After Debt Service
Profit of $32,426 each year for the 10 year term of the loan,
this owner is building up equity in the wash as it gets paid
for. That's another measurable gain because it's clear that
at the end of 10 years of payments the place would be free and
clear of any debt. At that point the owner can now put that
entire $80K of Net Operat ing Income (before taxes) into his
pocket.
It's impossible to know with certainty what
the wash will be worth 10 years into the future. It could be
worth more, it might be worth less, or it might not have changed
in value from the original $400,000. Granted, in most cases
it's apt to be worth more. But, for the sake of simplicity,
let's assume that 10 years into the future the wash is still
worth $400,000 hold ing the same value since it was first built.
Clearly the original cash investment (down payment) of $100,000
has grown to $400,000. (Note: if that sort of growth appeals
to you, you may want to check out "
A Tale Of Two Carwashers" at the end of this
article.) Helluva Deal! Now factor in this equity growth over
the origi nal $100,000 investment and the yield gets still higher
than that 32.5% ROI. The arithmetic gets a little messy, I'll
spare you the detailed calculations and go right to the conclusion.
With this $300,000 in growth factored in, there's a good case
to support a conclusion that the overall yield is in excess
of 40%. In point of fact, the combination of the 32.5% ROI and
the growth of the original $100,000 to $400,000 produces a "blended"
or "Internal Rate Of Return" of almost 50%! I realize that throwing
in Return On Assets , Return On Investment and Internal Rate
Of Return may strike some readers as a needless complication
... add ing some confusion where simple clarity is needed. Regardless,
at least the following summary statement (without all the messy
math and fancy jargon) should be clear enough to those with
any "money sense":
This is a great investment! A 32.5% Return
for 10 years. Then an outstanding 40% Annual Return after the
10 year loan is paid off. And ultimately a 400% Return on the
original $100K down pay ment. One helluva deal! But even beyond
that, it's likely the wash and land will be worth more than
the original cost of $400K at the end of the 10 years. It could
be worth $500K, per haps $600K, or maybe even more. The wash's
value (as a business apart from the land) also grows if the
Net Operating Income has grown beyond the original NOI of $80K
a year. Of course, the wash could be worth less if the NOI had
dropped off from that $80K. But given this particular growth
scenario, an "Internal" Annual Return on the total wash asset
of 50%+ is quite possible.
Too Good To Be True? The owner of our 8-bay
made out like a bandit ... right? When such Returns sound too
good to be true, a number of questions beg to be asked. First
of all, was the theoretical example realistic and could the
calculations be flawed?
To resolve those questions, we need to answer
these:
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What are workable terms and conditions
for carwash loans?
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What additional risks are involved com
pared to all cash investments?
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How does one minimize the risks involved
in borrowing to do carwash projects?
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What types of loans are likely to be
avail able in today's market?
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And how do you improve your chances
of getting the best loan needed to make a carwash deal a
reality?
...Pt. 2 Pg. 1..
......Pt.
2 Pg. 3
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